ALP 13.5%
Incumbent MP
Stirling Hinchliffe, since 2015.
Geography
Northern edge of the City of Brisbane. Sandgate covers the Brisbane suburbs of Bracken Ridge, Deagon, Shorncliffe, Sandgate, Brighton, Taigum, Fitzgibbon and parts of Bald Hills.
History
The seat of Sandgate has existed since 1923, and has been won by Labor at all but one election since 1960.
Harold Dean won the seat off the Liberal Party in 1960. He held the seat until his retirement in 1977.
Nev Warburton won the seat in 1977. He became Leader of the ALP in 1984, and led the party into the 1986 election. He continued as leader until 1988, when he was replaced by Wayne Goss.
When the ALP won power in 1989, and Warburton served as a minister until he retired in 1992.
Gordon Nuttall won the seat in 1992. He became a minister in the Beattie government in 2001 and served in the ministry until 2005. In 2005, he was investigated for giving a false answer to a Parliamentary committee. He retired in 2006, and resigned from the party shortly before the election, facing the prospect of expulsion.
Nuttall was later convicted of numerous corruption charges in 2009 and 2010, and is serving a seven-year prison sentence.
Vicky Darling held Sandgate for two terms from 2006 to 2012, and served as a minister from 2011 to 2012.
In 2012, Darling was defeated by LNP candidate Kerry Millard. Millard held the seat for one term, losing in 2015 to Labor’s Stirling Hinchliffe. Hinchliffe was re-elected in 2017.
Candidates
Assessment
Sandgate is a safe Labor seat.
2017 result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Stirling Hinchliffe | Labor | 15,460 | 49.1 | -0.6 |
| Jessie Van Der Hoek | Liberal National | 7,308 | 23.2 | -13.5 |
| Matthew Stephen | One Nation | 4,703 | 15.0 | +15.0 |
| Miree Le Roy | Greens | 3,985 | 12.7 | +2.4 |
| Informal | 1,150 | 3.5 |
2017 two-party-preferred result
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Swing |
| Stirling Hinchliffe | Labor | 19,969 | 63.5 | +3.4 |
| Jessie Van Der Hoek | Liberal National | 11,487 | 36.5 | -3.4 |
Booth breakdown
Booths in Sandgate have been divided into three areas: north-east, south-east and west. The west makes up a majority of the seat’s population.
The ALP won similar majorities of the two-party-preferred vote in all three areas.
One Nation came third, with a primary vote ranging from 12.8% in the south-east to 14.8% in the north-east.
| Voter group | ON prim | ALP 2PP | Total votes | % of votes |
| West | 14.3 | 65.3 | 11,165 | 35.5 |
| South-East | 12.8 | 65.5 | 4,149 | 13.2 |
| North-East | 14.8 | 64.4 | 3,277 | 10.4 |
| Pre-poll | 17.0 | 60.1 | 9,072 | 28.8 |
| Other votes | 14.2 | 63.0 | 3,793 | 12.1 |
Election results in Sandgate at the 2017 QLD state election
Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and One Nation primary votes.
Stirling Hinchliffe, enough said. High name recognition and strong ALP area. Another seat I won’t be watching on election night.
Prediction (August 2020): ALP Retain
Clark Siemsen is the LNP candidate for Sandgate. Has been in the field for the last month.
Third State election in a row the LNP has thrown up a very weak candidate. We’ve had a Facebook Phantom, home hairdresser and now a Mormon Sparky. A nice enough bloke but as a traditional LNP voter it will be very difficult to vote for him based on his lack of credentials. Sadly, I think Stirlings profile gets him across the line.
Prediction: ALP Retain
ALP retain
You are lucky to have a Liberal candidate. Party now effectively Requires candidates to fund their own campaigns without much help from head office. In the case of Sandgate this amounts to a labour of love by the liberal candidate or a Delusional belief in their own campaign ability. Nominees for party endorsement sign a contract to pay 15% of their salary to the party campaign fund. Some of this is used within the electorate but most of it is Filtered off by the campaign HQ. Therefore your Mormon Sparky is doing you a favour. The liberal party is not the only one who does this but by far the worst is Ashby-Hanson Party.
ALP retain